Will a cyber attack by a top 10 GDP nation exposing mass private civilian data occur before 2028?
EconomyOne-OffGeopoliticsChinaTech1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 52.7%
Forecasters
24
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleMar 15, 24, 4:51 AM UTCJan 2, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
Top 10 GDP at time of attack.
- Must be by a state or entity with noteworthy international suspicion to be under direction of that state.
- Mass = affects greater than 10,000,000 people
- Civilian = non military personnel of another nation.
- Private Data = passwords, private pictures, account numbers, some other form of data that is somewhat damaging (think embarrassing as lower bound).
- May include some false information purposefully or accidentally, but must be “mostly” reliable.
