Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Donald Trump 88.8%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
8
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleNov 6, 24, 4:40 PM UTCJan 2, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026?
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KalshiWill Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?
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FutuurRules
This question resolves YES to the named individual who holds the office of President on the morning of 1 Jan 2027.
- This question does not resolve to non-named individuals (e.g. descriptions of persons).
- Feel free to add full names to the above list.
- @/cash/who-will-be-president-of-the-united-htqPnuht2Q@/cash/who-will-be-president-of-the-united-stCshgR2O2
- @/cash/who-will-be-president-of-the-united-Q9Eng9RQyE
- @/cash/who-will-be-president-of-the-united-QCZs5nt5Ug (this question)
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-82.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.1pt0%
- Total Vol
- $985.7K
- 24h Vol
- $777.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.6M
- 24h Vol
- $689.2K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.2M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
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- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be President of the United States on 1 Jan 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices Donald Trump at 89% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will be President of the United States on 1 Jan 2027? resolve?
- Who will be President of the United States on 1 Jan 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2027.
- How is Who will be President of the United States on 1 Jan 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This question resolves YES to the named individual who holds the office of President on the morning of 1 Jan 2027.