Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Unbiased Co (99%)
Resolved: Sep 18, 2026, 2:00 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Probability Timeline
Xiaomi (MiMo company)0.1%
Z.ai / Zhipu AI (GLM company)0.1%
OpenAI0.7%
Anthropic0.6%
Alibaba (Qwen company)0.1%
Moonshot AI (Kimi company)0.1%
Google0.7%
xAI / Cursor0.1%
Other0%
Mistral0.1%
Microsoft0.1%
OpenRouter itself0.1%
Sakana AI0%
DeepSeek1%
Unbiased Co99%
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PolymarketRules
“Union Alpha,” an anonymous “stealth” model that appeared on OpenRouter earlier today (September 16, 2026).
- [tweet]OpenRouter claims it sets a new frontier on cost effectiveness on DeepSWE:
- [image]Update 2026-09-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * If Union Alpha is a blended combination of multiple models under the hood, the market will resolve to the institution that built and managed the combination, regardless of where the underlying tokens originate.