KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 24.1% (98%)
Resolved: Sep 28, 2026, 2:51 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Above 24.1%
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
94%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 28, 2026, 2:48 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Above 24.1%98%
Above 25.7%1%
Above 26.8%2%
Above 24.9%3%
Above 25.9%1%
Above 23.0%Lost
Above 24.1%Won
Above 24.9%Lost
Above 25.2%Lost
Above 25.4%Lost
Above 25.7%Lost
Above 25.9%Lost
Above 26.8%Lost
Above 28.1%Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If DeepSeek scores above 23.0% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OpenRouter - AI Market Share
- This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated market share values reported by OpenRouter, rounded to one decimal place, for the week of Sep 21, 2026.
- If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing benchmark.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If DeepSeek scores above 24.1% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.