Which prediction market will have the most accurate prediction for the 2026 midterm election?
10.3 pts (24h)RegulationOne-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms24dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastInteractive Brokers (ForecastEx) 23.7%-10.3ptLeader of 15 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-26.3 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Oct 9, 26, 11:32 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PredictItRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on which prediction platform demonstrates the highest accuracy for the 2026 US midterm elections.
- Each answer (platform) will resolve to YES if it is determined to be the most accurate according to the criteria below, and NO otherwise.
- In the event of a tie, multiple platforms may resolve to YES.
- Any platform that does not meet the criteria or is missing sufficient data will resolve to NO.
- The market will resolve according to the following hierarchy: