Which politician on this list of 18 politicians will pass away next, or all zero if all live to mid 2027
PoliticsSociety & Culture9moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastJair Bolsonaro (1955) 24.5%Leader of 19 outcomes
Forecasters
8
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMar 2, 26, 9:32 AM UTCJul 1, 27, 6:59 AM UTC
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PredictItRules
Resolves when anyone on this list dies, for whatever reason, or all NO except the "all survive" option if all survive til EOD june30 2027
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which politician on this list of 18 politicians will pass away next, or all zero if all live to mid 2027?
- Manifold Markets prices Jair Bolsonaro (1955) at 25% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Which politician on this list of 18 politicians will pass away next, or all zero if all live to mid 2027 resolve?
- Which politician on this list of 18 politicians will pass away next, or all zero if all live to mid 2027 is scheduled to resolve on July 1, 2027.
- How is Which politician on this list of 18 politicians will pass away next, or all zero if all live to mid 2027 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves when anyone on this list dies, for whatever reason, or all NO except the "all survive" option if all survive til EOD june30 2027