Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 30, 2026, 5:43 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecast
NVIDIA 94.6%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 25 days ago
StaleJan 13, 26, 7:10 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
NVIDIA95%
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As of January 2026, the current top 7 largest companies by market cap are: NVIDIA ($4.56T), Apple ($3.95T), Alphabet ($3.83T), Microsoft ($3.53T), Amazon ($2.49T), Broadcom ($1.67T), and Tesla ($1.48T).
- Each answer resolves YES if that company remains in the global top 7 by market capitalization on December 31, 2026, and NO if it falls outside the top 7.
- Market cap will be determined by multiplying share price by outstanding shares as reported on major financial data platforms (e.g., CompaniesMarketCap.com, Yahoo Finance, or Bloomberg).
- The market will resolve based on end-of-day market data on December 31, 2026.
- Technology companies have been consistently holding top market cap positions because of their scalable business models, global reach, and high profit margins, and are typically highly adaptable to consumer desires and willing to innovate as market demands shift, resulting in consistent revenue growth and capital appreciation.
- Market cap fluctuates due to changes in stock prices, new share issuance, mergers and acquisitions, industry trends, and macroeconomic conditions like inflation and interest rates.