Which of Sabine Hossenfelder's predictions from "What will they think about us in 2085?" will be right?
AI
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Supersonic planes will make a comeback by 2085 69.7%Leader of 13 outcomes
Supersonic planes will make a comeback by 2085 69.7%Forecasters
23
Question type
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
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Updated 14 hours ago
StaleJun 30, 24, 2:34 AM UTCDec 31, 25, 1:29 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Sabine Hossenfelder makes her predictions for the future in her latest video "What will they think about us in 2085?"
- (https://www.youtube.com/embed/fdqNJo6JScA)I've tried to summarize and fairly represent Sabine's predictions but I'm definitely open to any changes that might need to be made.
- Most predictions specified a year but for the monogamy/polyamory one and the drone deliveries one she just said "soon".
- For any other predictions with no time frame I've just assumed 2085.
- A asked Claude 3.5 Sonnet for some quantifiable metrics for each prediction and they seemed like a good start.
- Would be really interested if Sabine would sign off on these: