Which of Catalonia, Scotland, or Quebec will achieve independence first?
PoliticsManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastScotland 69%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
14
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleOct 26, 23, 3:50 AM UTCOct 27, 00, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
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This market resolves to the first of the three regions which has an internationally recognized independent government. "Internationally recognized" means that they recieve diplomatic recognition from at least one current permanent member of the UN security council, or any widely recognized successor governments to such members.
- (Thus, Russia/France/China/US/UK).
- The government must claim to primarily be the government of Catalonia/Scotland/Quebec.
- This question will not close until the resolution criteria is satisfied by one of the regions.
