Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAt least $50B 93.7%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 9, 26, 8:31 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves to the mark price on MNX for the Moonshot pre-IPO valuation contract on October 1, 2026 midnight PT.
- The MNX contract settles to the valuation in billions of dollars after market close following IPO, or if no such listing occurs, to the last public valuation at the end of 2027.
- If the market is not live October 1st (including in its current private, invite-only state), this market resolves N/A. Tradeable soon on mnx.fi 👀
