Which nicotine pouch brands will be bought by Big Tobacco?
YearlyCorporate ActionsBusiness & CorporateMacro & EconomyChina2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Lucy · —
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Stored reference
Lucy 50%Leader of 5 outcomes
Lucy 50%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$81.5
Low liquidityOpen interest
$163.4
Bid / Ask
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LucySpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 30 minutes ago
Mar 31, 26, 7:18 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Lucy
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed nicotine pouch brand is bought or otherwise acquired by Big Tobacco between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "Big Tobacco" is defined as any of the following corporations: Philip Morris International, British American Tobacco, Japan Tobacco International, Imperial Brands, Altria, or China Tobacco.
- Any change of name of these companies will not affect the resolution of this market provided they remain major names in the tobacco industry.
- Any change in the name of the listed nicotine pouch brand will similarly not affect the resolution of this market.
- Any acquisition which gives Big Tobacco ownership of the rights to the nicotine pouch product will qualify even if Big Tobacco does not acquire the entire company, whether through a merger, asset purchase, or stock purchase.