PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
June 30, · —
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Stored reference
June 30, 74%Leader of 3 outcomes
June 30, 74%Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$23.8
Liquidity
$1.2K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$3.2K
Bid / Ask
— / —
June 30,Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 7:47 PM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · June 30,
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will Moonshot AI publish Kimi K3.1 Pro's full weights on Hugging Face? (promised "by Nov 4")
Manifold MarketsMoonshot AI share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiMoonshot AI share of spend on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiSakana AI IPO by 2029
Manifold MarketsWill Open AI IPO before Bitcoin Reaches 250,000$ ?
Manifold MarketsKimi Moonshoot IPO before 2028?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI, the developer of Kimi, completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Moonshot AI to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
- If Moonshot AI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."
- The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...? · June 30, 2027 62%