Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 83.5%
Forecasters
34
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 57 minutes ago
LaggingJul 16, 26, 10:11 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Will Moonshot AI (北京月之暗面科技有限公司) IPO or do a direct listing of its stock on any major exchange in China, Hong Kong, US, etc. before the start of 2028? If Moonshot is acquired by a public company before 2028, this market resolves NO.