Will Open AI IPO before Bitcoin Reaches 250,000$ ?
BitcoinCustomCryptoAITechRegulationSportsExchangeEquitiesCorporate ActionsChess8y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 82.4%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleSep 29, 25, 4:43 PM UTCJun 29, 35, 9:59 PM UTC
Rules
Resolution criteria
- YES if OpenAI completes an initial public offering and its shares begin trading on a major U.S. exchange (NYSE or Nasdaq) before Bitcoin first prints at or above $250,000 on the CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Index (BRTI).
- Evidence: (a) OpenAI’s effective SEC Form S‑1 on EDGAR; (b) the exchange’s listing/IPO page showing the first trading day; (c) BRTI crossing timestamp.
- Use UTC for all timestamps; if timestamps are identical, resolve NO (not “before”).
- NO if Bitcoin (BRTI) reaches $250,000 first, or if OpenAI goes public via a method other than an IPO (e.g., direct listing/SPAC) before $250,000 is reached and no IPO has occurred yet.
- BRTI is the primary price source; if BRTI is unavailable at the relevant time, use CoinDesk’s XBX as fallback.
