When will Moonshot AI publish Kimi K3.1 Pro's full weights on Hugging Face? (promised "by Nov 4")
28.9 pts (24h)ChinaOne-Off1mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNov 1–4, 2026 (on the promised date) 58.9%+28.9ptLeader of 5 outcomes
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3
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
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+38.9 pts
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Updated 9 hours ago
StaleOct 27, 26, 5:22 AM UTCNov 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
On its Kimi K3.1 Pro tech blog (published Oct 23–24, 2026), Moonshot AI wrote: "Full model weights will be released by Nov 4, 2026." The model is already live on Kimi.ai and the Kimi API.
- As of Oct 27, no K3.1 repository exists under the moonshotai organization on Hugging Face; the newest is Kimi-K3 (last modified Sep 2).
- Announcement: https://www.kimi.ai/blog/kimi-k3-1-pro Hugging Face org: https://huggingface.co/moonshotai
- This market resolves to the bucket containing the date (UTC) on which the full weights of Kimi K3.1 Pro first become publicly downloadable from a repository under huggingface.co/moonshotai.
- "Full weights" means the complete K3.1 Pro model weights, at the precision Moonshot officially releases (for example FP8 or INT4, as with earlier Kimi releases).
- A distilled/smaller variant, a Highspeed-only release, or a model card with no weight files does NOT count.