Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedUnverified resolution data: #571 — Which Turán exponents exist?
Resolved: Oct 1, 2026, 7:58 PM
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
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Data as of Oct 19, 2026, 3:57 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
#3 — Divergent reciprocal sums and arithmetic progressions0%
#20 — Sunflower conjecture0%
#28 — Erdős–Turán additive basis conjecture0%
#52 — Sum-product problem0%
#61 — Erdős–Hajnal conjecture0%
#77 — Ramsey-number exponential growth0%
#89 — Sharp distinct-distances problem0%
#571 — Which Turán exponents exist?97%
#242 — Erdős–Straus conjecture0%
#120 — Erdős similarity problem0%
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PolymarketRules
Options resolve as 'yes' when they go from unsolved to solved on erdosproblems.com
- Options resolve as 'no' if they don't go from unsolved to solved before October 1, 2026.