Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastMalaysia 100%Leader of 14 outcomes
Forecasters
48
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+13.2 pts
Market data
Updated 52 minutes ago
LaggingDec 12, 25, 2:21 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will at least 5 democratic countries other than Australia ban social media for kids under 16 by the end of 2026?
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES iff a social media ban is introduced for at least some teenagers (anyone, but not necessarily everyone, ages 13-19) in the relevant country by December 31st, 2026.
- The ban must encompass at least two social media sites.
- The ban must become law by EOY 2026 (not just announced).
- For this market, partial restrictions (e.g. limits on smartphone screen time or curfews) do not suffice.
- I am far from an expert in the current laws and restrictions in each of these countries, so there may be some edge cases.
- If there is a dispute, I will attempt to rule in the spirit of the question - whether there are new laws that a reasonable person would describe as a social media ban.
