Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2030s 44.1%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 43 minutes ago
Oct 8, 25, 7:05 PM UTCJan 1, 60, 8:00 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market predicts whether and when the US Supreme Court will hear a case specifically addressing AI legal personhood or property ownership rights.
- Context: The US legal system is already grappling with AI-related cases, primarily focused on copyright (Thaler v.
- Perlmutter) and intellectual property.
- As AI systems become more autonomous, questions about their legal status will likely reach higher courts.
- Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to a date range if, in that date range:
- The US Supreme Court grants certiorari to a case that explicitly addresses whether AI systems can have legal personhood or property ownership rights, OR
