When, if ever before 2060, will a long-term suspended animation procedure on humans be developed and shown reliable?
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Later than 2059 or never (question will close in 2060) 70.6%Leader of 8 outcomes
Later than 2059 or never (question will close in 2060) 70.6%Forecasters
6
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
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0.0 pts
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Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJan 9, 24, 4:09 AM UTCJan 2, 60, 7:59 AM UTC
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Rules
Suspended animation in humans involves a state where biological processes are dramatically slowed or halted for an extended period, allowing for storage with a known method for reanimation at the end of the procedure.
- Suspended animation differs significantly from current cryonics and other structural brain preservation methods, which do not have a known method for reversibility at the time of preservation.
- A potential method for achieving suspended animation could be advanced whole-body vitrification, where perfused cryoprotectants are used to prevent ice damage with minimal cryoprotectant toxicity.
- The key challenge is to achieve this without substantial side effects, ensuring that individuals retain their cognitive abilities, long-term memories, personality traits, and typical motor functions upon revival.
- This technology must demonstrated be through a scientific research publication prior to 2060, describing successful and reliable reanimation in at least three human participants, not solely extrapolated from results in other species.
- The publication requires peer review, either pre-publication or post-publication by at least one scientist who has reviewed the publication in-depth.
