Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastQ4 2026 14.2%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleNov 13, 25, 6:57 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 6:50 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
I want to interact with as few people as possible before getting to Lighthaven
- Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES when anyone (public release, not a closed beta) can book and complete a fully driverless Waymo ride from San Francisco International Airport (SFO) to Lighthaven, located in Berkeley, CA.
- Resolution requires:
- Waymo offering fully autonomous service (no safety driver) at SFO for passenger pickups
- Waymo's service area extending to Lighthaven in Berkeley
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When can I take a fully driverless Waymo from SFO to Lighthaven??
- Manifold Markets prices Q4 2026 at 14% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does When can I take a fully driverless Waymo from SFO to Lighthaven? resolve?
- When can I take a fully driverless Waymo from SFO to Lighthaven? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.
- How is When can I take a fully driverless Waymo from SFO to Lighthaven? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I want to interact with as few people as possible before getting to Lighthaven