What will US federal government debt as a percent of GDP be in 2049?

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for What will US federal government debt as a percent of GDP be in 2049??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 58.3% as of October 30, 2026.

When does What will US federal government debt as a percent of GDP be in 2049? resolve?

What will US federal government debt as a percent of GDP be in 2049? is scheduled to resolve on June 12, 2050.

How is What will US federal government debt as a percent of GDP be in 2049? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEGDQ188S#0

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POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

• 2 (50 bps)-1.5pt71.3%
• 1 (25 bps)+1.5pt27.7%
• 3 (75 bps)-0.1pt1%

+3 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1.4M

24h Vol

$111.8K

POLYMARKET

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

• Below 4.9%+4.0pt86%
• Below 4.8%-5.5pt68%
• Below 4.7%+11.5pt45%

+15 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

• Pause-Hike-Pause+6.0pt64.1%
• Pause-Pause-Pause+2.5pt16.5%
• Pause-Pause-Hike-3.5pt9.7%

+6 more outcomes

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.1%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 3.0%98.5%
• Above 3.2%98.5%

KALSHI

Core CPI in October

• Above 0.0%-12.0pt82.5%
• Above 0.1%+2.0pt79%
• Above 0.2%+1.0pt44.5%

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes-2.0pt70%
• No+2.0pt30%

Total Vol

$1.2M

24h Vol

$10.8K

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