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Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 1:51 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Anthropic 30.6%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
28
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleSep 30, 23, 10:23 AM UTCJan 2, 00, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Subsidiaries will resolve to the "main" organization.
- If there's a collaboration I'll resolve to a mix in proportion to my estimate of their contribution.