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Anthropic 31.5%Leader of 12 outcomes
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228
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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StaleSep 5, 23, 2:45 AM UTCSep 12, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
I'm defining AGI as an algorithm that can do any human white collar job.
- If things get complicated I might resolve if a single algorithm can perform better than humans on all the most common AI benchmarks in text, vision, and audio.
- The common LLM benchmarks: https://huggingface.co/spaces/HuggingFaceH4/open_llm_leaderboard
- The most common vision tasks:
- https://scale.com/blog/best-10-public-datasets-object-detection
- And the Audio Tasks / Datasets mentioned here:
