What are the current odds for What countries will join the UN before 2030?

Manifold Markets prices Bougainville at 29% as of September 8, 2026.

When does What countries will join the UN before 2030 resolve?

What countries will join the UN before 2030 is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.

How is What countries will join the UN before 2030 settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If a country is accepted but hasn’t completed joining by 2030 it still counts

What countries will join the UN before 2030

Geopolitics3y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Bougainville 29.1%

Leader of 15 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

0.0 pts

Market data

Updated 18 hours ago

Stale

Apr 2, 24, 5:37 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Rules

If a country is accepted but hasn’t completed joining by 2030 it still counts

Report a data issue with this market

What countries will join the UN before 2030

Geopolitics3y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Bougainville 29.1%

Leader of 15 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

0.0 pts

Market data

Updated 18 hours ago

Stale

Apr 2, 24, 5:37 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2020s (2020-2029)

Manifold Markets

Which countries will join ASEAN before 2030?

Manifold Markets

Which countries will join the CPTPP trade agreement before 2030?

Manifold Markets

Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

Polymarket

Which countries will join NATO as members in 2026?

Futuur

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Polymarket

Rules

If a country is accepted but hasn’t completed joining by 2030 it still counts

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for What countries will join the UN before 2030?: Manifold Markets prices Bougainville at 29% as of September 8, 2026.
When does What countries will join the UN before 2030 resolve?: What countries will join the UN before 2030 is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
How is What countries will join the UN before 2030 settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If a country is accepted but hasn’t completed joining by 2030 it still counts

What countries will join the UN before 2030

What countries will join the UN before 2030

Frequently asked questions

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