Current community forecast
No 74.5%
Forecasters
28
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleDec 1, 23, 9:41 AM UTCJan 2, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Must be a major election or referendum.
- If it's just some lower-level political operatives with rigging limited to their district that might not be enough to resolve YES.
- It has to be actual messing with the votes, not just CIA messing with the election by putting out propaganda or gerrymandering or whatever.
- I won't bet.
- Will resolve YES if the allegations are significantly high-profile, even if I don't necessarily believe them.
- What constitutes a "high-profile" allegation may result in some controversy.