UK Autumn Budget 2026: will a £2 bus fare cap be funded beyond the end of 2027?
One-OffEuropeMacro & Economy16dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 72.1%
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2
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
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Updated 14 minutes ago
Sep 22, 26, 2:32 PM UTCOct 28, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
The £2 cap in England outside London runs from 1 January 2027 to the end of 2027.
- YES if the Budget provides for a national single-fare cap in England outside London at £2 or lower for any period after 31 December 2027.
- A cap set above £2, or funding devolved without a national cap, resolves NO.
- Resolves YES if the measure is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech on 28 October 2026 or appears in the Budget documents HM Treasury publishes that day (the Budget document, the policy decisions table, the policy costings, or the Overview of Tax Legislation and Rates).
- A measure announced earlier counts if those documents confirm it.
- A consultation, review or call for evidence alone resolves NO.