UK Autumn Budget 2026: will any gambling duty rate rise beyond the April 2027 changes?
One-Off16dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 50%
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1
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
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Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 22, 26, 2:32 PM UTCOct 28, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
YES if the Budget announces an increase in any gambling duty rate (for example machine games duty) beyond the changes legislated at Budget 2025.
- Resolves YES if the measure is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech on 28 October 2026 or appears in the Budget documents HM Treasury publishes that day (the Budget document, the policy decisions table, the policy costings, or the Overview of Tax Legislation and Rates).
- A measure announced earlier counts if those documents confirm it.
- A consultation, review or call for evidence alone resolves NO.
- This market closes at 12:00 UTC on Budget day, 30 minutes before the speech is due to begin, because measures resolve as the Chancellor announces them.
- The creator may trade in this market.