Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 1:36 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 59.5%
Forecasters
24
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleMay 5, 25, 5:59 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 6:55 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which prongs of the "3-3-3" economic plan will the Trump administration achieve by the end of Q1, 2028?
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, during the Trump administration, any official economic data released by the administration is demonstrably proven to be misleading or false.
- This includes instances where:
- Economic statistics are intentionally manipulated.
- Independent fact-checking organizations or reputable media outlets provide evidence of false economic data published by the administration.
- The market will resolve to "No" if no such instances are verified during the Trump administration or the following year into the next administration.