Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 99%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleOct 15, 25, 3:12 PM UTCOct 31, 26, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
As reported by an analytics site, for example https://hypeauditor.com/youtube/UCVrK_pMRp_q8IelpfUCTGLQ/
- Should this site disappear I'll use another.
- Should the channel be deleted, YouTube change beyond recognition, or this data becomes difficult to find, resolves NA.
- Resolves next October.
- Currently they report over 4.5 million with a high growth rate.
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $829.4K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.5%
- October 31-1.0pt28.7%
- September 30-2.0pt13.1%
+17 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $63.6M
- 24h Vol
- $343.1K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.1pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt14%
+48 more outcomes
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Subscribers for turning point USA YouTube channel over 6.5 million next year??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 99% as of September 7, 2026.
- When does Subscribers for turning point USA YouTube channel over 6.5 million next year? resolve?
- Subscribers for turning point USA YouTube channel over 6.5 million next year? is scheduled to resolve on October 31, 2026.
- How is Subscribers for turning point USA YouTube channel over 6.5 million next year? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: As reported by an analytics site, for example https://hypeauditor.com/youtube/UCVrK_pMRp_q8IelpfUCTGLQ/