Roland Fryer [Harvard Economist] Multiple Choice markets (many topics, many market lengths)
One-OffMacro & EconomyBusiness & Corporate4yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 4:02 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastHe moves to another university, away from Harvard by mid 2026 63.5%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingDec 10, 23, 9:05 PM UTCJul 1, 31, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will the ability to allow resolving options in multiple-choice markets to NO be added?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Manifold Markets allow users to partially resolve dependent multiple choice markets
Manifold MarketsWill Manifold implement "resolves-to-multiple" Multiple Choice markets before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will I create a PR to allow resolving options in multiple-choice markets to NO?
Manifold MarketsWill Harvard tuition exceed $66,000 in 2026?
ForecastExWill Harvard tuition exceed $65,000 in 2026?
ForecastExRules
All end dates are June 30 of the related year.
- I will resolve them as the time comes.
- He seems like an interesting researcher and I wanted to try out a new multi-market general interest topic idea.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roland_G._Fryer_Jr.
