Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastDemocrats win at least one of Governor or Special senate election 85.2%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
22
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+12.2 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleDec 25, 25, 8:50 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiWhich States will elect opposite parties for Governor and Senate in the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves based on who wins the 2026 Ohio Special Senate election, and the 2026 Ohio Governor election
- Resolution criteria
- Both elections will be held on November 3, 2026.
- The market resolves based on the winners of these two races:
- Republicans win both: Republican wins the gubernatorial election AND Republican wins the special Senate election
- Democrats win both: Democrat wins the gubernatorial election AND Democrat wins the special Senate election