Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 75.7%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 10, 26, 5:25 PM UTCNov 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?
PolymarketWill someone confuse me (Jacob Cohen) with Jacob Coxon during the month of September?
Manifold MarketsWill the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?
KalshiWill Anthropic's public Form S-1 appear on SEC EDGAR by October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Jacob Kalinovskiy 10x value at Recall.ai?
Manifold MarketsTencent market share this week
KalshiRules
Jacob Coxon (@hilbertspaess) on X
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Jacob Coxon (@hilbertspaess on X) appears as a guest on any episode of the All-In Podcast on or before November 30, 2026.
- An "appearance" is defined as Jacob Coxon participating directly as a speaker or interviewee in the All-In Podcast with the Besties, the original and flagship show of the All-In brand, which distributes the episodes displayed on this YouTube Podcast list: All-In Podcast
- If no such appearance occurs by 11:59 PM PT on November 30, 2026, this market resolves to NO.
- AI pretraining researcher Jacob Coxon went viral for his resignation from Anthropic, prompting even Jason Calcanis to send him a tweet to "come on the pod": Jacob Coxon (@hilbertspaess) on X.
Open markets
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT+0.4pt13.5%
- Gemini+1.6pt10.6%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.5M
- 24h Vol
- $100.2K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-11.0pt69%
- December 15,-13.5pt65%
- November 30,-11.0pt50%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+18.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $262.3K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 24.3%+13.0pt99%
- Above 24.7%+30.0pt99%
- Above 23.6%+1.0pt99%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt25.3%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt20%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.8%
+7 more outcomes
- Anthropic market share this week
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Best AI this week
- Anthropic lab leak by which date?
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
- When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Jacob Coxon Will Appear on the All-In Podcast with the Besties?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 76% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Jacob Coxon Will Appear on the All-In Podcast with the Besties resolve?
- Jacob Coxon Will Appear on the All-In Podcast with the Besties is scheduled to resolve on November 30, 2026.
- How is Jacob Coxon Will Appear on the All-In Podcast with the Besties settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Jacob Coxon (@hilbertspaess) on X