What are the current odds for Is Trump gay??

Manifold Markets prices No at 99.8% as of November 4, 2026.

When does Is Trump gay? resolve?

Is Trump gay? is scheduled to resolve on June 15, 2046.

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Is Donald J. Trump, 45th and 47th POTUS, a male homosexual?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

No 99.8%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 15 hours ago

Stale

Aug 11, 25, 6:53 AM UTCJun 15, 46, 3:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Is Donald J. Trump, 45th and 47th POTUS, a male homosexual?

This question will resolve YES with evidence that Donald Trump sought or enjoyed other men romantically or sexually.
It will resolve NO if evidence comes out that his attraction was only to women.
Without either, it will resolve to the market probability on his 100th birthday.
I will not bet on this market.
Update 2025-09-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If evidence shows Trump enjoyed both men and women (bisexual), the market will resolve to 40% (PARTIAL).