In which year before 2031 will it be legal to purchase an assault weapon in Washington State?
One-OffUS PoliticsCrime & Justice4yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNot before 2031 44.8%Leader of 9 outcomes
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7
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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7d Change
0.0 pts
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Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJul 15, 23, 5:39 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 7:59 AM UTC
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This question resolves to the year in which it becomes legal for a non-felon to purchase and then posess >90% of the firearms specifically listed in Section 2.2.i of WA Substitute House Bill 1240: https://lawfilesext.leg.wa.gov/biennium/2023-24/Pdf/Bills/House%20Passed%20Legislature/1240-S.PL.pdf#page=1.
- If purchase/posession is delayed >14 days, this resolves no.
- If purchase/posession requires special licensure, this resolves no.
- If purchase/posession is capped at any number, this resolves no.
- If purchase/posession is not legal by 2030, this resolves "Not before 2030".
