Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Other 25.2%Leader of 20 outcomes
Other 25.2%Forecasters
89
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.3 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJun 19, 22, 3:58 AM UTCJan 1, 31, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
First year a specific AI model/framework is named as Time's Person of the Year
Manifold MarketsWorld's first trillionaire named Time Person of the Year within two years?
Manifold MarketsNonhuman animal becomes TIME Person of the Year by end 2030?
Manifold MarketsBy 2031, will any new TIME Person of the Year have been selected for their negative influence?
Manifold MarketsTime's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiTIME Person of the Year 2026
PolymarketRules
Resolves YES when an AI is chosen as person of the year.
- Close date updated to 2030-12-31 11:59 pm