First year a specific AI model/framework is named as Time's Person of the Year

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for First year a specific AI model/framework is named as Time's Person of the Year?

Manifold Markets prices 2026 at 7.8% as of October 27, 2026.

When does First year a specific AI model/framework is named as Time's Person of the Year resolve?

First year a specific AI model/framework is named as Time's Person of the Year is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.

How is First year a specific AI model/framework is named as Time's Person of the Year settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: "OpenAI" does not count

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POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+3.0pt56.6%
• Google-2.0pt34.3%
• OpenAI+0.1pt6.1%

+12 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.2M

24h Vol

$186.1K

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+8.3pt95%
• Anthropic-3.5pt5%
• Alibaba+0.1pt0%

+18 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+3.7pt59.5%
• Gemini-2.4pt30.1%
• ChatGPT+0.2pt

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202796.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt95%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt94.5%

POLYMARKET

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?

• December 31-4.0pt79%
• December 15-4.5pt71%
• November 3050%

+5 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,-1.0pt94%
• December 15,-2.0pt92%
• November 30,-1.5pt89%

+15 more outcomes

• Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• Best AI this week
• Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?