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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Rogue SOTA AI autonomously surviving and replicating for at least three months by EOY 2030?
Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
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Eliezer Yudkowsky irrelevant by 2030
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I made a website that pairs news stories with related Manifold markets, so you can read the news alongside what traders think might happen:
Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:
https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/manifold/in-three-months-will-i-think-settinAI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:
https://mcp.coinrithm.com/mcp+18 more outcomes
+7 more outcomes
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