If Germany stops giving Ukraine heavy weapons, will Ukraine still exist in 2030?
One-OffRussia / UkraineGeopolitics3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 96.4%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleJul 4, 23, 10:44 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Heavy weapons are tanks, artillery, and jets.
- Resolves NA immediately if Ukraine says they don't need heavy weapons anymore.
- Also NA if Germany plans to send more heavy weapons at close date.
- Resolves YES if Ukraine still exists at close date.
- Existance in the sense of a country according to german maps.
- Resolves NO if current german maps at close date show no Ukraine.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for If Germany stops giving Ukraine heavy weapons, will Ukraine still exist in 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 96% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does If Germany stops giving Ukraine heavy weapons, will Ukraine still exist in 2030? resolve?
- If Germany stops giving Ukraine heavy weapons, will Ukraine still exist in 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.
- How is If Germany stops giving Ukraine heavy weapons, will Ukraine still exist in 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Heavy weapons are tanks, artillery, and jets.