If an AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame?
AI1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastPalantir 16.3%Leader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
86
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJan 21, 26, 5:44 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If an AI system is causes the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame? (no n/a)
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PolymarketRules
Clarifications:
- If there are multiple events where an AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by end of 2027, the market will resolve to the AI company responsible for the first such event.
- If no AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by end of 2027, this market will resolve to N/A (not to a "no event" option).
- The market is not limited to LLMs only.
- Other AI companies such as Anduril or Palantir are also eligible for resolution.
- Responsibility determination involves judgment calls by the creator.