Current community forecast
20% 35.9%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleMay 14, 26, 7:31 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 3:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
AI diffusion is measured as the share of people between ages of 15 and 64 who have used a generative AI product.
- This measure is derived from aggregated and anonymized Microsoft telemetry and adjusted to reflect differences in OS and device-market share, internet penetration, and country population.
- This data is measured to be 17.8% at Q1 2026.
- https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/corporate-responsibility/topics/ai-economy-institute/reports/global-ai-adoption-2026-q1
- This market will be resolved based on future data published by Microsoft AI Diffusion Report.