What are the current odds for Did "The Deep State Start The Maui Fires Using Direct Energy Weapons"??

Manifold Markets prices No at 94.8% as of November 3, 2026.

Did "The Deep State Start The Maui Fires Using Direct Energy Weapons"?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

No 94.8%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Stale

Aug 23, 23, 4:20 AM UTCDec 31, 30, 10:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com.

They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
I will not be trading in those markets.
If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.