Conditional on their being no AI takeoff before 2050, will the majority of AI researchers believe that AI alignment is solved?
One-OffAI
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 51.3%
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Updated 12 minutes ago
Dec 23, 22, 3:14 PM UTCDec 23, 49, 9:26 PM UTC
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