Conditional on their being no AI takeoff before 2030, will the majority of AI researchers believe that AI alignment is solved?
One-OffAI3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 65.6%
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Updated 7 hours ago
StaleDec 23, 22, 3:06 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
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In the case that there is no AI that appears to have more control over the world than do humans, will the majority of AI researchers believe that AI alignment is solved?
- Close date updated to 2029-12-31 6:59 pm