Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score in 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score in 2026??

Manifold Markets prices 1490+ at 100% as of October 3, 2026.

When does Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score in 2026? resolve?

Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score in 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: An option resolves YES if any model gets at least that option's arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) without style control, before EOY 2026.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+1.0pt22%
• 2028+3.0pt19%
• 2027+5.0pt11%

Total Vol

$1.2M

24h Vol

$1.1M

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• Anthropic+7.7pt58%
• SpaceX-2.0pt41%
• OpenAI-0.1pt1%

+9 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+1.6pt63.7%
• Anthropic-1.5pt35.3%
• OpenAI1%

+18 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 202920%
• 2028-1.0pt16%
• 2027+4.0pt11%

Total Vol

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-0.4pt49.1%
• Gemini+0.7pt34.9%
• ChatGPT+0.7pt9.4%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$13.5M

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Mar 1, 202789%
• Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt88%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt86%

+9 more outcomes

Total Vol

$2.7M

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