Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast
>=2035 50.8%Leader of 11 outcomes
>=2035 50.8%Forecasters
21
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleFeb 17, 24, 7:14 PM UTCJan 2, 35, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
By which year will I be unable to find work in any industry (incl. as management or startup founder)?
- The operationalization of "virtually" is TBD, but refers mostly to the relative value of labor vs. capital.
- If ~99.999% of the world's economic output is generated by machines and I can only find work as a an office adornment for some sentimental tech emperor that would suffice to resolve the market, even if technically I'm making more than I make in 2023, because global GDP has increased a dozen orders of magnitude.
- This market will be resolved in the "spirit of the question" and is about economic conditions, not my personal fate.
- If I die or suffer a catastrophic loss of skills/mental faculties, this market resolves N/A, not affirmatively.
