By the end of 2028, will any of the Merriam-Webster Word of the Year finalists be AI-generated?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for By the end of 2028, will any of the Merriam-Webster Word of the Year finalists be AI-generated??

Manifold Markets prices No at 89.8% as of October 28, 2026.

When does By the end of 2028, will any of the Merriam-Webster Word of the Year finalists be AI-generated? resolve?

By the end of 2028, will any of the Merriam-Webster Word of the Year finalists be AI-generated? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2029.

How is By the end of 2028, will any of the Merriam-Webster Word of the Year finalists be AI-generated? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The word must clearly have an AI-generated origin, and cannot simply be relating to AI (eg “GPT” or something would not count).

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KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+0.7pt59.5%
• Gemini-0.7pt29.8%
• ChatGPT+0.5pt7.5%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$15.7M

24h Vol

$135.2K

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202796.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202795%
• Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt93%

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+1.8pt95%
• December 15,+1.0pt93%
• November 30,-0.5pt88%

+15 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+8.0pt98%
• Anthropic-6.5pt2%
• Alibaba-0.1pt0%

+18 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+3.0pt32.4%
• $2.0–$2.25T+2.6pt23.5%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.1pt16.7%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+2.0pt56.6%
• Google+0.5pt35.4%
• OpenAI+0.2pt6.1%

+12 more outcomes

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)