Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 83.2%
Forecasters
279
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingApr 12, 23, 1:48 AM UTCJan 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Update 2026-09-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will be resolved based on the situation at the close of the market (end of 2028), rather than resolving immediately if the category is created at some point but later removed.
