Will a movie that has at least some AI-generated dialogue win an Oscar by EOY 2028?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will a movie that has at least some AI-generated dialogue win an Oscar by EOY 2028??

Manifold Markets prices No at 89.4% as of October 30, 2026.

When does Will a movie that has at least some AI-generated dialogue win an Oscar by EOY 2028? resolve?

Will a movie that has at least some AI-generated dialogue win an Oscar by EOY 2028? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.

How is Will a movie that has at least some AI-generated dialogue win an Oscar by EOY 2028? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will resolve YES if there is a credible (as judged by me) report that a movie for which an Oscar has been awarded has a dialogue line that was written by an AI model rather than human writers.

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KALSHI

Oscar Winner: Best Picture

• The Odyssey+1.0pt55.5%
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• The Black Ball14.5%

+38 more outcomes

Total Vol

$10.7M

24h Vol

$106K

KALSHI

Wicker · Rotten Tomatoes score

• Above 8799.5%
• Above 8599.5%
• Above 4599.5%

POLYMARKET

#1 Spotify song this week? (October 30)

• Housewife - Tate McRae+1.6pt100%
• Ain't In LA - ADÉLA0%
• BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky0%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

KALSHI

Dancing with the Stars · Episode 9 Elimination

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• Tatyana Ali-3.0pt36.5%
• Connor Wood

KALSHI

Grammy Winner: Best Contemporary Country Album

• Dandelion-1.0pt61.5%
• Flow State+60.0pt46.5%
• Love & Fear-5.0pt

KALSHI

The Mongoose · Rotten Tomatoes score

• Above 10+2.0pt98.5%
• Above 599.5%
• Above 15+1.0pt92.5%

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