By 2060, will humanity harness and utilize energy on a scale approaching Type I on the Kardashev scale?
One-OffScienceManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 66%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleMar 10, 24, 10:45 PM UTCJan 1, 61, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
YES Resolution:
- This market resolves to YES if, by December 31, 2060, humanity has reached Type I status on the Kardashev scale, signifying the ability to use and store all of the energy available on planet Earth.
- Reaching the Engery combustion of 5 * 10^20 Wh per year (current approximation of the amount of energy to be Type I civilization)
- NO Resolution:
- If by the end of 2060, there is no consensus or evidence that humanity has achieved Type I status on the Kardashev scale, the market will resolve to NO.
- Verification:
