By end of 2030, will any US company be worth $10 trillion, in inflation adjusted 2022 dollars?

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for By end of 2030, will any US company be worth $10 trillion, in inflation adjusted 2022 dollars??

Manifold Markets prices No at 54% as of September 8, 2026.

When does By end of 2030, will any US company be worth $10 trillion, in inflation adjusted 2022 dollars? resolve?

By end of 2030, will any US company be worth $10 trillion, in inflation adjusted 2022 dollars? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.

How is By end of 2030, will any US company be worth $10 trillion, in inflation adjusted 2022 dollars? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolved based on market cap, adjusted by CPI with respect to Jan. 2022 CPI.

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in September?

• 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
• No change-3.0pt45%
• 50+ bps increase1%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$104.5M

24h Vol

$2M

KALSHI

Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)

• Above 2.5%99%
• Above 2.6%99%
• Above 2.8%99%

+23 more outcomes

Total Vol

$629K

24h Vol

$35.7K

KALSHI

CPI in August

• Above 0.1%99%
• Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
• Above -0.3%99%

+12 more outcomes

Total Vol

$388.5K

24h Vol

$14.9K

POLYMARKET

Fed rate hike by which date?

• October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
• September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
• April Meeting-0.1pt0%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Core CPI MoM - August 2026

• 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
• 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
• 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%

+4 more outcomes

KALSHI

NYC median asking rent in December 2026

• Above $3,80095%
• Above $3,90081%
• Above $4,000-1.0pt44%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$90.3K

24h Vol

• How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
• Fed rate hike in 2026?
• Will the Citrini scenario happen?
• Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
• Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
• August Inflation US - Annual
• August Inflation US - Monthly
• CPI in September
• CPI core in August
• Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
• State of the economy at the end of 2026
• August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core